Sarah Palin: Probably Not Happening
Time for a fair and balanced look at Sarah Palin. Ha! I’m sorry, I’m not Fox News, and I also think it’s a fair and balanced statement to say that she is either a moron, or a cynical populist politicker who plays crowds like Mick Jagger, but without the art, grace, and contribution to humanity.
Sarah Palin, as I said in earlier blogs, has absolutely no chance of winning in 2012, for a number of reasons. First off, a recent poll found that Sarah Palin, while receiving a favorable rating among most Republicans and having the best name recognition, had much less support among the Republicans.
She seems to clearly be interested in the White House, and she doesn’t seem to get that her nomination as the Vice Presidential candidate sabotaged John McCain’s sizeable chance of winning in 2008. She has maintained a solid public profile, and would be a decent bet for the Republican nomination in 2012, but moderates don’t like her, and Democrats despise her. What’s more: she’s SUCH an easy target. Everyone remembers the borderline gibberish she spewed when asked basic questions by Katie Couric in ‘08, and how she then attacked Couric for “gotcha journalism,” despite Couric’s reputation as kind of being one of the easiest hosts to get interviewed by, and asking questions that any politician, let alone presidential candidates, should have been able to answer.
So what will happen with her?
She may win the Republican nomination off of her support in the party, and she may be able to propel herself through the primaries. Then, I think we’ll be seeing a slaughter. A presidential debate between hot-headed Palin and calm, intelligent Obama, would be like watching… okay, weird simile, but it would be like watching a cook bludgeon a fish to death with a mallet. I don’t know why that’s the image that popped into my head.
But regardless, Palin is an easy one to fear monger over (and rightfully so, as her election would probably be the precursor to the apocalypse, and YES that’s supposed to be ironic. Sort of. ), and though the Republicans have tried doing that with Obama, they have largely failed. He is really good at parrying complaints.
And you need to bring over the moderates. Moderates might not like Obama, but they sure as hell don’t like Palin, and Palin won’t win without moderates.
I see two scenarios: One is the Republicans try and neutralize her by offering her the position as the party head, knocking out the inept Michael Steele, who is currently involved in like ten scandals. They may also just sabotage her run.
Or they will embrace her. If she gets into the primaries, she may beat out Huckabee or Romney, and if she does, Obama will trounce her so hard in the general election that the rest of us will all finally earn what we’ve wanted for two years now: For Sarah Palin to just go away.
OUCH!